The Nobel Prize in Literature — to be announced Thursday — could go to an overtly political author like a Kremlin critic, or crown a safer or lesser-known writer, experts say. All the literary gossip and wild guessing of the last few weeks will have their answer on Thursday at 1:00 pm (1100 GMT) when the Swedish Academy in Stockholm reveals its pick. Russian author and outspoken Kremlin critic Lyudmila Ulitskaya, who lives in self-imposed exile in Germany, has been frequently mentioned in this year’s speculation. Her epic novels, often focused on personal relationships, have been compared to those of Leo Tolstoy and John Steinbeck. She has harshly criticised Russian President Vladimir Putin over his “senseless” war in Ukraine, predicting it will be “catastrophic” for Russia. Lisa Irenius, culture editor at Swedish daily Svenska Dagbladet, said it would be a bold choice to champion Russian culture at a time when Moscow is being lambasted over Ukraine. But it would also send a message that “literature stands free from politics”, she said. Betting sites have been surprisingly accurate in predicting the laureate in recent years, with Norwegian playwright Jon Fosse and China’s avant-garde fiction writer and literary critic Can Xue hotly tipped this year. But Bjorn Wiman, culture editor at Sweden’s paper of reference Dagens Nyheter, told AFP his favourite was a political author whose name has featured in Nobel speculation for years: Salman Rushdie. The Indian-born British author survived a stabbing on stage last year after living in hiding for years due to an Iranian fatwa calling for his death over his 1988 book “The Satanic Verses”. “It’s time for him to win, and if he does, hats off to the Academy” for standing up for freedom of expression, which Rushdie embodies, Wiman said. A nod to Rushdie would correct what many see as a three-decade-old mistake made by the 18-member Swedish Academy. In the name of the “independence of literature”, the Academy refused to condemn the 1989 fatwa against Rushdie. Academy members were divided about whether to stand as neutral guarantors of the arts or as supporters of their fellow author. Three members angered by the Academy’s silence resigned. It was not until 2016 that the Academy finally condemned the fatwa. With no public shortlist, it is always difficult to predict which way the Swedish Academy is leaning.