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Jawad Saleem

Jawad Saleem

The writer is a financial expert and can be reached at jawadsaleem.1982@ gmail.com. He tweets @JawadSaleem1982

The AI Arms Race Runs on Electricity, Not Algorithms (Part I)

Published on: June 5, 2026 4:02 AM

June 5, 2026 by Jawad Saleem

The world has spent the last few years obsessing over artificial intelligence. Headlines have been dominated by breakthroughs in large language models, increasingly sophisticated chatbots, autonomous systems, and the race among technology giants to build ever more powerful AI platforms. Governments are drafting AI strategies, investors are pouring billions into AI startups, and corporate executives are restructuring businesses around the promise of intelligent automation. Yet beneath the excitement surrounding algorithms, machine learning models, and semiconductor chips lies a more fundamental reality that receives far less attention. The future of artificial intelligence may ultimately be determined not by software engineers or data scientists, but by power plants, transmission networks, and electricity grids.

For much of the twentieth century, geopolitical influence was closely tied to control over oil. Nations with abundant energy resources powered industries, fueled transportation networks, strengthened militaries, and accumulated immense wealth. The twenty-first century is witnessing a similar transformation, but with a different form of energy at its centre. Artificial intelligence is emerging as the defining technology of our age, and unlike many digital innovations that preceded it, AI requires enormous quantities of electricity. In many respects, the global AI race is becoming an energy race.

Nations capable of generating reliable, affordable, and abundant power are positioning themselves to attract data centres, AI research facilities, semiconductor manufacturing plants, and technology investments.

The popular perception of AI often focuses on software. Users interact with applications through simple interfaces, leading many to believe that AI is merely a sophisticated digital service. In reality, every AI query triggers activity within massive data centres housing tens of thousands of high-performance processors. Every image generated, every document analysed, every recommendation produced, and every conversation conducted with an AI system requires substantial computing power. Those computations consume electricity, generate heat, and require sophisticated cooling systems that consume even more power.

The scale of this demand is staggering. Recent projections suggest that global data centre electricity consumption could more than double by the end of this decade. Some estimates indicate that data centres may consume over 1,000 terawatt-hours of electricity annually by 2030, an amount exceeding the total electricity consumption of many major industrialised nations. The rapid deployment of generative AI applications is accelerating this trend even further.

Training advanced AI models requires enormous computational resources. The development of state-of-the-art systems often involves thousands of specialised graphics processing units operating continuously for weeks or even months. These facilities consume electricity on a scale previously associated only with heavy industries such as steel manufacturing or chemical production. Once deployed, these systems continue consuming substantial amounts of power as millions of users interact with them daily.

The implications extend far beyond technology companies. Electricity is becoming a strategic national asset in the AI era. Nations capable of generating reliable, affordable, and abundant power are positioning themselves to attract data centres, AI research facilities, semiconductor manufacturing plants, and technology investments. Those unable to provide such infrastructure risk becoming consumers rather than producers of advanced technologies.

This reality helps explain why many of the world’s leading economies are simultaneously investing in both AI and energy infrastructure. The United States is expanding data centre capacity while debating energy security and grid modernisation. China continues investing aggressively in power generation alongside its efforts to achieve technological self-sufficiency. Gulf nations, historically associated with oil exports, are leveraging their energy advantages to position themselves as future AI hubs. Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates are committing billions of dollars toward technology ecosystems, cloud infrastructure, and advanced computing facilities.

Perhaps the most surprising consequence of the AI revolution is the renewed interest in nuclear energy. For years, nuclear power faced political resistance in many countries due to safety concerns, regulatory challenges, and environmental debates. However, the immense energy requirements of artificial intelligence are changing the conversation. Technology companies increasingly recognise that renewable energy alone may not satisfy future demand for stable, uninterrupted electricity. Nuclear energy offers a carbon-efficient source of baseload power capable of supporting large-scale AI infrastructure.

Major technology firms are already exploring direct partnerships with nuclear energy providers. This development would have seemed unlikely only a few years ago. Today, it reflects a growing understanding that the future of AI is inseparable from the future of energy production.

The semiconductor industry provides another illustration of this interconnected reality. Much attention has focused on advanced chips produced by a small number of companies. Governments are offering incentives worth billions of dollars to encourage domestic semiconductor manufacturing. Yet chips alone do not create economic value. Their usefulness depends upon the availability of reliable electricity. A nation may secure access to the most advanced processors in the world, but without sufficient power generation and transmission capacity, its potential remains largely unrealised.

History offers useful parallels. The Industrial Revolution was not merely a story of inventions; it was fundamentally an energy revolution driven by coal. The rise of the automobile age depended not only upon engineering breakthroughs but also upon access to petroleum. Economic transformations have consistently been underpinned by shifts in energy availability. Artificial intelligence represents the latest chapter in this pattern.

The difference is that AI has the potential to influence virtually every sector of the economy simultaneously. Manufacturing, healthcare, education, agriculture, logistics, financial services, defence, and public administration are all expected to benefit from AI-driven productivity gains. Consequently, access to electricity becomes even more critical because it affects the deployment of technologies across the entire economic landscape.

For Pakistan, this emerging reality presents both challenges and opportunities. The country has long struggled with energy-related constraints. While significant progress has been made in expanding generation capacity, concerns remain regarding affordability, transmission efficiency, distribution losses, and long-term sustainability. Electricity tariffs remain among the most significant concerns for businesses, while infrastructure bottlenecks continue limiting industrial competitiveness.

Ironically, Pakistan today possesses greater installed generation capacity than it can efficiently utilise in many periods, yet consumers continue facing high costs. This paradox reflects structural issues within the power sector rather than simple shortages. As the global economy moves toward AI-driven growth, resolving these inefficiencies becomes even more important.

Pakistan’s young population represents one of its greatest strategic assets. Millions of young Pakistanis are already participating in the digital economy through freelancing, software development, e-commerce, and technology services. Artificial intelligence could significantly expand these opportunities. However, realising this potential requires reliable and affordable electricity, modern telecommunications infrastructure, and investment-friendly policies. (To Be Concluded)

The writer is a financial expert and can be reached at jawadsaleem.1982@ gmail.com. He tweets @JawadSaleem1982

Filed Under: Op-Ed Tagged With: AI Arms, electricity, Not Algorithms, Race Runs

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