Pakistan’s Pakistan Space and Upper Atmosphere Research Commission has forecast the Ramadan 2026 moon sighting, with the holy month likely to begin on February 19. The prediction is significant for millions of Muslims preparing for fasting and worship nationwide. The announcement helps citizens, businesses, and institutions plan for Ramadan 1447 AH.
In a statement issued Friday, SUPARCO said the new moon will be born on February 17 at 5:01pm PST. The agency based its forecast on detailed astronomical calculations. It said the moon’s age at sunset on February 18 will be about 25 hours and 48 minutes, increasing the chances of visibility.
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Moreover, coastal areas are expected to have nearly 59 minutes between sunset and moonset. This time gap improves the likelihood of naked-eye crescent sighting. Therefore, the crescent is likely to be visible on the evening of February 18. As a result, the first fast is expected to fall on February 19, 2026.
The forecast aligns with projections by the Pakistan Meteorological Department, which also confirmed the moon’s birth at 5:01pm PST on February 17. The Met Office described a fair chance of sighting on February 18, corresponding to 29th Shaban 1447 AH. Weather conditions are expected to remain partly cloudy or fair across most parts of the country.
Read more: Ramadan 2026 expected to begin February 19
However, the final decision rests with the Ruet-e-Hilal Committee, which is authorized to announce the start of the Islamic month. The committee will review verified moon-sighting testimonies received nationwide. Its official declaration will formally determine the beginning of Ramadan in Pakistan.