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Muneeza Moeen

Shifting Global Order

Published on: July 19, 2025 5:31 AM

July 19, 2025 by Muneeza Moeen

The world is undergoing an era of unprecedented transformation. International relations, global alliances, and the balance of power are all in flux. The unipolar world that emerged after the Cold War-dominated by the United States-is gradually giving way to a multipolar global order. This new landscape is marked by the rising influence of China, Russia, the European Union, and other regional powers, who are increasingly challenging U.S. hegemony.

This geopolitical shift is steadily drawing the centre of global economic and strategic gravity toward Asia. China’s Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), Russia’s assertive posture in Central Asia, Iran’s evolving diplomatic ties with the West, and India’s growing alliance with the U.S. and Israel are reshaping the regional architecture. These developments are profoundly affecting Pakistan-and more specifically, the province of Balochistan.

China’s Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), Russia’s assertive posture in Central Asia, Iran’s evolving diplomatic ties with the West, and India’s growing alliance with the U.S. and Israel are reshaping the regional architecture.

Due to its strategic geographic position, Pakistan has long been a focal point of global powers. The China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) has further elevated Pakistan’s importance in international affairs. However, the cooling of relations with the U.S. and the post-withdrawal scenario in Afghanistan have introduced fresh challenges. In this dynamic environment, Pakistan must adopt a balanced foreign policy-one that maintains strategic relations with China, Russia, Iran, Turkey, the Central Asian republics, and the West.

Recent reconciliations in the Middle East-such as the China-brokered détente between Saudi Arabia and Iran, as well as Israel’s growing relations with Arab nations-signal a new era of diplomacy. Meanwhile, the return of the Taliban in Afghanistan and India’s aggressive regional diplomacy are impacting South Asia’s equilibrium. Together, these trends compel Pakistan to revise its strategic outlook. The trilateral nexus of India, Israel, and the United States poses tangible security concerns, especially given India’s documented support for non-state actors destabilising Balochistan.

During my first visit to Balochistan, I was struck by the stark contrast in development compared to other parts of the country. In a conversation with Lieutenant General Aamir Riaz, I asked: “When will this conflict in Balochistan end? Will peace ever prevail?”He responded thoughtfully: “You don’t wage war against your own people; you win them over with love. This is a war of narratives.”

Balochistan, Pakistan’s largest province, is rich in natural resources and is the gateway to CPEC. This strategic significance makes it a target for external interference. The Gwadar Port is central to the China-Pakistan economic partnership. However, within the province, feelings of neglect persist. A lack of quality education and healthcare, unemployment, and limited local participation in development projects continue to fuel discontent and separatist sentiments, creating space for foreign powers to exploit. India’s intelligence agency, RAW, has been repeatedly implicated in supporting unrest in the province. In response, Pakistan remains committed to securing lasting peace and stability.

In this rapidly evolving global and regional order, Pakistan must anchor its strategy around three core principles:

1. Diplomatic Balance:

Maintain constructive relations with competing global powers-such as China and the U.S., Iran and Saudi Arabia, and Russia and the EU-without becoming overly dependent on any one bloc.

2. Domestic Stability and Inclusion:

End the sense of alienation in underdeveloped regions like Balochistan and Khyber Pakhtunkhwa by prioritising education, healthcare, employment, and equitable access to public services.

3. Regional Connectivity and Cooperation:

Deepen trade, energy, and security ties with neighbouring countries, including Iran, Afghanistan, Central Asia, and Turkey. Strengthening these regional links will stabilise Pakistan’s economy and reinforce its security.

In a candid discussion with former Balochistan Chief Minister Dr. Abdul Malik Baloch, he emphasised that the shifting global landscape presents both risks and opportunities for Pakistan. Balochistan can play a pivotal role in this new order, provided it is fully integrated into the national development agenda. National unity, trust-building, and fair distribution of resources are essential to thwart external interference. The state must work in collaboration with the people of Balochistan through dialogue, transparency, and inclusive policies.

If Pakistan approaches this changing global dynamic with wisdom, foresight, and strategic clarity, it can transform current challenges into historic opportunities. As a famous saying goes, “History repeats itself-though the forms may change.”The Western-led world order is holding on to a fading past. We are living through a storm, and beyond this storm lies a calm. If we can navigate the next four to five challenging years, not only will a new world order emerge, but perhaps a new Pakistan as well.

The writer is Chairperson (Global Women Media) and a journalist.

Filed Under: Op-Ed

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