How will the dream of a regime change in Iran fade away?
Trump’s recent visit to Japan raised a tiny hope that Shinzo Abe might be asked to broker dialogue between two states.
The White House is full of hawks. The US is not willing to shed off its role of a policeman.
Donald Trump is hell-bent on regime change in Venezuela and Iran.
The unwanted and unnecessary escalation with Iran that the US is brewing has brought the whole world to the brink of war. It is impacting energy-starved and oil-starved countries i.e. the whole world. It is because the Strait of Hormuz is the main for world trade. On the other hand, Iran is facing unbearable challenges at home, including unemployment and inflation.
The hard-earned JCPOA deal had given the world a chance to celebrate peace and prosperity. All the major powers got it done through diplomatic measures. Thanks to Obama’s efforts.
It was a win-win situation, even for Iran. There is an ingrained feeling of rebellion and revolt in the Persian people. They stand with whatever their government says, for now. But, it is also worth noting that in areas like Mashad and Shiraz, slogans were raised against Khumeni. This is unnerving Iran.
Trump wants the JCPOA be revisited, as he had promised this in the election campaign. So, let’s not get surprised. This was coming.
On the contrary, Iran is not willing to sit and renegotiate the deal.
The IAEA has verified that no breach of agreement was observed during the off-site and on-site inspection. War clouds persist.
The US desire to put Iran’s oil trade to zero is achieving significant success and brewing domestic tensions in Iran.
However, this strategy is going to reshape the Arab world. Iran is not comfortable in further negotiation in the nuclear deal as per CFR.
Trump’s recent visit to Japan raised a tiny hope that Shinzo Abe might be asked to broker a dialogue between two states.
The US desire to put Iran’s oil trade to zero is achieving significant success and brewing domestic tensions in Iran. However, this strategy is going to reshape the Arab world. Iran is not comfortable in further negotiation in the nuclear deal as per CFR
Japan is affected since it imports more than 10 per cent of the oil. The recent attacks on an oil tanker in the Gulf of Oman have escalated the situation.
Pompeo took not a nanosecond to accuse Iran of the attacks.
Europe snubbed Pompeo when he was on a visit to several countries. Europe maintained its distance from the US policy and demanded that it be less harsh since Europe is getting affected and if war occurred, refugees will go to Europe, which is already facing the daunting challenge of refugees.
Ots long-term side effects would be the prevalence of populism.
Iran must show some restraint, too.
Its support for proxy elements in the war-torn Middle East has raised eyebrows throughout the world.
It is true that it is in its national interest to pursue it. But, when your economy is going down and down and the state is becoming isolated, it is time to revise your security and foreign policy to survive and trade.
There will be implications for Pakistan. If Pakistan thinks that it’s going to be neutral, that is not going to be an option. Pakistan cannot aid and trade with Iran unless it has a green signal from the US. Saudi Arabia’s aid and its cordial relation with the US are going to be crucial for Pakistan because it is also grappling with economic issues at home and has border issues with Iran. Though there are countless problems, the ones relevant here are economy and security).
Moreover, Saudi Arabia has shown interest in making a bomb and there is no other country that can provide it with assistance other than Pakistan. That is the reason the US reiterates that Pakistan’s nuclear bombs are not safe. At least, they are safer than India’s, which is stockpiling everything and violating the rules of the IAEA and the NSG.
It is pertinent to note that since India is a big and growing economy, no country dare have hostile relations with it.
It is the economy, stupid.
The writer is freelance journalist