The IMF has raised its global growth forecast for 2026 to 3.3 percent. It cited easing trade tensions and strong artificial intelligence investment. The Fund said global growth remains resilient despite recent economic shocks.
The IMF also projected global growth of 3.3 percent for 2025. This figure is higher than earlier estimates. However, growth in 2027 is expected to ease slightly to 3.2 percent.
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IMF chief economist Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas said economies adapted to US tariffs. Businesses rerouted supply chains and diversified export markets. Trade deals also helped reduce the overall tariff burden.
Meanwhile, the IMF said AI investment is driving activity in key economies. US growth for 2026 was revised up to 2.4 percent. Technology spending also supported growth in Spain and Britain.
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However, the IMF warned of risks from inflation, geopolitical tensions, and market volatility. It noted AI could boost growth further if productivity gains emerge. Global inflation is expected to keep declining, supporting expansion.