Congratulations to PTI (Pakistan Tehreek e Insaf) for winning 15 seats in the by-elections for the Punjab provincial assembly, 50 per cent more than what they expected. Another miracle in the recent political history of Pakistan. Yet not clear who is behind the miracle. With these seats, PTI will be strong enough in numbers to win the Punjab Chief Minister’s election with the support of PML-Q (Pakistan Muslim League-Quaid). The in-house polling for the Chief Minister Punjab has been scheduled for July 22, 2022.
The Sunday by-elections have changed the number game in the Punjab Assembly with 178 PTI members and 10 PML-Q. The two-party coalition has 188 members while the PML-N alliance stands at 179. If everything goes well, the candidate of the 10-member PML-Q, Pervaiz Elahi, will win the CM’s polling with the support of the 178-member PTI. It will be another miracle in Pakistan politics. The present CM Hamza Shehbaz will be pushed to the opposition benches.
PML-N (Pakistan Muslim League-Nawaz) has very generously accepted the defeat. First time in the history of Pakistan’s politics the losing party has not blamed the winner or the military for conspiring the rigging in polls. Another strange miracle. However, Federal Interior Minister Rana Sanaullah has said that anything, a miracle, can happen till the polling for the Punjab CM slot. Wait and see. Apparently, it seems that the only politicians are playing democratic or non-democratic games with each other without any hidden support. Unfortunately, it is not. I strongly believe that some forces are playing both sides with winning moves for a party.
The deepening rift between PML-N and the military establishment is not a secret any longer.
The deepening rift between PML-N and the military establishment is not a secret any longer. Despite an evidently proven sequence of events and facts, some of the PML-N leaders were trying to reconcile with the establishment. They continued struggling even before the no-confidence motion in the National Assembly against the then Prime Minister Imran Ahmed Niazi (the Imran Khan). The struggling PML-N leaders believed that they had a positive nod from the establishment to form the government. Yes, it was so because the uniformed personnel had to rescue their blue-eyed horse that was drowning deep into rising inflation and borrowings, fast losing friendly countries and the backing of international financial institutions. PTI has lost public trust. Extremely, Pakistan had annoyed the US with wrong diplomacy tactics.
In the meanwhile, an untimely decision of the PML-N and its coalition parties, actually the political opponents of PML-N, surfaced to shoulder the PTI political deficit and foreign diplomacy burden. Just in three months, the coalition government’s honeymoon is going to end very soon in the federal capital after losing government in the Punjab province. Signs are becoming visible in the changing political scenario once again that the smaller political parties will be changing their side to PTI for another no-confidence motion in the National Assembly.
PML-N president, presently the prime minister, Shehbaz Sharif is designed to lose the premiership and with a heavy dent to PML-N’s political stature and public image. The joy of the political win is obvious on the face of Asif Ali Zardari who aspires to see his son Bilawal Bhutto Zardari prime minister of Pakistan in his life. Bilawal becomes prime minister or not in Zardari’s life, but political parties in the PDM (Pakistan Democratic Movement) have turned bleak for the PML-N future.
The Establishment has played well on both sides. First, in the win of PTI in 2018 and regaining the political public repute now. Big applause. Seems, that all is set for former Prime Minister Imran Khan to make all the very crucial appointments in the coming November that would be a plus for the long-term political sustainability of PTI. Sometime in the future, it would be revealed that the PTI chief’s establishment bashing and shouting slogans against the US were to build a public narrative to regain the lost political repute. And, it was done by them all together – the state institutions to make their blue-eyed one a hero of the masses at the cost of national interests.
Pakistan suffered a lot economically and on the foreign policy fronts since PTI dharnas against the Previous PML-N government. The stories of its causes and objectives are well known by the public. No need to repeat them all here. It was again a success story of playing both sides by the actual players. Not new to Pakistani, even known to the international powers too. If not short of memory, the US has been shouting in the 1980s that President General Zia ul Hq was playing both sides. The same statements were repeated against President General Pervaiz Musharraf. Some politicians and others active players are doing the same even today. Only fair play will strengthen democracy in Pakistan if we need it.
The writer is a freelance journalist and broadcaster, and Director (Devcom-Pakistan). He can be reached at devcom.pakistan @gmail.com and tweets @EmmayeSyed