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Raheela Batool

Challenges to the US in Asia-Pacific

Published on: December 9, 2024 10:15 AM

December 9, 2024 by Raheela Batool

China’s rapid Naval Modernization has reshaped the Security dynamics in the Asia-Pacific by creating a significant challenge to the US alliance system in the region. The People’s Liberation Army Navy (PLAN) has evolved from a coastal defence force to the world’s largest navy by fleet size, with advanced blue-water operational capabilities.

Characterized by new warships, aircraft carriers, and integrated systems such as anti-access/area-denial (A2/AD) strategies, this buildup underscores Beijing’s regional aspirations for dominance, global power projection, and control over critical trade corridors.

China’s improved naval capabilities have fuelled its rise, particularly in the South China Sea, where it makes territorial claims. With modern platforms like the Type 055 destroyer and advanced submarines, the PLAN can change the regional military balance. Moreover, China has also made significant investments in unmanned systems, AI, and integrated C4ISR (command, control, communications, computers, intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance) technologies to enhance its naval capabilities.

This modernization is part of broader Chinese strategies to contest US naval dominance while avoiding confrontation. A2/AD systems such as the DF-21D missile threaten US aircraft carriers and limit military action close to Chinese territory, making it difficult for the United States to respond effectively in ambits such as the Taiwan Strait. These advancements also illuminate Beijing’s push for the Belt and Road Initiative’s maritime routes and its quest to expand its global footprint through soft power, such as anti-piracy missions and investments in overseas ports.

The regional tilt toward economic integration and diplomacy complicates US efforts to strengthen alliances and contain China’s ambitions.

China’s naval expansion is said to have important repercussions for its partners in the region, such as Japan, South Korea, Australia, and India, who claim to worry about managing the often complex relationship between security issues and economic interests in Beijing.

China’s expanding naval power has ramifications for Japan, especially about territorial disputes over the Senkaku Islands in the East China Sea. In response, Japan has improved its defence posture, but its economic dependence on China tempers its actions. South Korea faces a similar dilemma regarding the Chinese expansion in the Yellow Sea. However, it is harder for South Korea to bend fully toward US initiatives due to its reliance on trade with China, amid US policy inconsistencies.

As part of the AUKUS pact, Australia has also augmented its military capabilities, yet it remains susceptible to pressure from China on the economic front. India confronts a “String of Pearls” strategy because of China’s strategic position in the Indian Ocean region, particularly its utilization of ports like Gwadar in Pakistan and Hambantota in Sri Lanka.

Nevertheless, economic interdependence makes the strategy choices for India complicated, particularly with India concentrating on border security. Furthermore, the United States’ departure from significant agreements such as the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) and the Paris Agreement has made these countries wary of completely supporting US-led efforts, casting doubt on Washington’s credibility as a strategic partner.

ASEAN members value neutrality and regional peace and have been hesitant to form a united front. The bloc’s decision-making relies on consensus, which often results in cautious, non-confrontational policies that concentrate on economic cooperation and stability, rather than challenge China directly.

Even in the face of growing Chinese influence – especially in the South China Sea – the countries of the ASEAN have been hesitant to fully align themselves with this has much to do with their economic ties with China, leading them to avoid taking sides. The regional tilt toward economic integration and diplomacy complicates US efforts to strengthen alliances and contain China’s ambitions.

The United States has consistently sought to counter China’s naval modernization efforts and maintain stability in the Asia-Pacific. These include redistributing naval forces to the Asia-Pacific and introducing advanced platforms including Virginia-class submarines, Gerald R. Ford-class carriers, and next-generation destroyers. Advanced technologies like hypersonic weapons, unmanned systems, and improved communication networks would negate China’s anti-access/area-denial (A2/AD) approaches.

The Distributed Maritime Operations (DMO) concept distributes US Navy troops to promote resilience and flexibility, while collaboration with AUKUS and the QUAD improves interoperability, joint exercises, and regional defence capabilities. Freedom of Navigation (FONOPs) in contentious locations, such as the South China Sea, challenge China’s maritime claims while upholding international law. Deterrence is strengthened and US allies are reassured by forward-deployed units along the First and Second Island Chains.

The US must strike a balance between military superiority and diplomatic engagement if it hopes to avoid worsening tensions. Long-term viability of the alliance architecture in the Asia-Pacific region will depend on how the United States responds proactively to the changing geopolitical environment, and enhancing bilateral and multilateral bonds while minimizing economic reliance on China.

The United States can help preserve its alliance structures as robust mechanisms to support peace and stability in the Asia-Pacific by strengthening ties among programs, such as the Quad and AUKUS, and with participation in regional trade agreements that reduce reliance on China.

The writer is a freelance columnist.

Filed Under: Op-Ed

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