A classified US intelligence report warns that even large-scale attacks cannot remove Iran’s current government or military leadership. The report, compiled by senior analysts at the National Intelligence Council, draws on information from 18 US intelligence agencies and assesses Iran’s resilience to foreign strikes.
According to the report, the document was finalized a week before recent US and Israeli attacks on Iran began. Analysts concluded that Iran’s religious and military leadership maintains full control, and no opposition forces could realistically seize power in the country.
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The report further notes that killing Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei would trigger pre-planned responses by Iran’s religious and military hierarchy. It also states that alternative strategies, such as US ground forces entering Iran or fomenting uprisings in Kurdish areas, were not considered feasible.
Experts emphasize that the report reflects the strong grip Iran’s leadership has over its internal security and governance. No major public revolt or internal dissent has emerged that could threaten the regime, making a US-led regime change highly unlikely.
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Senior policy researchers, including at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy and the Brookings Institution, echoed that Iran’s leaders view resistance to US pressure as a core principle. The intelligence assessment confirms that Iran remains resilient despite external military threats and ongoing geopolitical tensions.