The National Emergencies Operation Centre (NEOC) has warned of Glacial Lake Outburst Flood (GLOF) risks in northern Pakistan from March to September 2026, cautioning that rising temperatures and early heatwaves could intensify glacier melt and trigger flash floods in vulnerable valleys of Gilgit Baltistan and Upper Khyber Pakhtunkhwa.
In its advisory, NEOC cited anticipated temperature rise, shifting weather patterns, and possible early heatwave conditions as key factors behind the heightened risk.
Seasonal projections indicate that increasing temperatures during March to June 2026 may accelerate snow and glacier melt in Gilgit Baltistan and Upper Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, heightening the risk of GLOF incidents.
Such events can trigger flash floods, causing damage to homes, infrastructure, agriculture, and communication networks, and may result in human casualties in vulnerable downstream communities. Potentially exposed areas include Ahmadabad, Faizabad, Mujawer Village, Ishkoman Valley, Gulkin Valley, Gulmit Valley, Bubur Village, and Handis Valley in Gilgit Baltistan, as well as Reshun, Kumrat, Yarkhun Valley, Lasht, Istach, Dizq, and Brep in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa. The NDMA has advised provincial and local administrations to review their contingency plans, ensure the dissemination of early warnings, and prepare evacuation arrangements as necessary.
Communities in at-risk areas are urged to stay vigilant, follow official advisories, avoid unnecessary movement near glacial streams, and comply with instructions from local authorities. The public is encouraged to remain updated through official NDMA platforms, media channels, and the “Pak NDMA Disaster Alert” mobile application for timely information and guidance.
NDMA reiterates its commitment to proactive and anticipatory disaster risk management and urges all stakeholders and communities to adopt precautionary measures to minimise potential losses during the forthcoming high-risk period.