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‘Pakistan among countries showing sharpest decline in default risk’

Published on: October 5, 2025 11:27 PM

Advisor to the Finance Minister, Khurram Schehzad, on Sunday said that in a remarkable shift, Pakistan has emerged as one of the top-performing countries in terms of reducing its default risk, recording one of the sharpest declines globally.

As per the latest data posted by Bloomberg, Pakistan stands out globally as the 2nd most improved economy in terms of reduction in sovereign default risk, as measured by CDS-implied default probability globally, he posted on social media site X.

He said that Pakistan stood 2nd only to Turkey in Global Emerging Market (EM) Rankings in Default Risk Reduction, as the country has recorded one of the sharpest drops in sovereign default risk globally over the last 15 months (since Jun-24 till Sep-25).

Notably, Pakistan is the only country in the EM sample showing consistent quarterly improvement across the past year, he said, adding that default probability has decreased by a massive 2,200 basis points.

He said that this marks the sharpest decline among major EMs, ahead of South Africa (3%), EI Salvador (2%).

Khurram said that, in contrast, countries like Argentina, Egypt, Nigeria, and others have seen their default risks rise.

This sharp decline in the country’s risk signals strengthening investor confidence, underpinned by macroeconomic stabilization,

structural reforms, timely debt servicing, staying the course with the IMF program and positive ratings actions from S&P, Fitch, and Moody’s, he added.

The Advisor said that Pakistan is steadily rebuilding market credibility, standing out as one of the most improved sovereign credit stories in the emerging market universe.

Filed Under: Business Tagged With: default risk, Pakistan among countries

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