Free-falling rupee threat to national security; Sri Lanka-like scenario emerging: FPCCI chief

Author: Our Correspondent

FPCCI president Irfan Iqbal Sheikh has maintained that the free-falling rupee has reached a point where it has become a threat to national security as LCs for petroleum imports are being opened at a much higher rate than that of intra-bank rate, and a grave law & order situation might emerge in case of any fuel shortages for transportation and electricity generation. He added that he is forewarning all the authorities that we are not far from a Sri Lanka-like scenario and radical decisions are needed to reverse the situation.

Mr. Aqeel Karim Dhedhi expressed his shock that despite the fact that many numbers are showing improvement over the last few weeks like international oil prices, declining edible oil prices, and better supplies of many other commodities, the government has failed to rein in inflation. He added that imports are expected to be considerably lower this month as compared to the last couple of months; but still, the rupee is in a free fall – which is only adding fuel to the uncertainty.

Irfan Iqbal Sheikh has emphasized that SBP cannot continue with the free-floating exchange rate; and, it has to apply regulatory tools to minimize the speculation, uncertainty, hoarding, malpractices, and misinformation. He maintained that we do not even have enough foreign exchange reserves to cover for two months of imports.

Irfan Iqbal Sheikh has noted with profound concerns that the trade deficit for the fiscal year 2021 – 22 has clocked at a record $48.66b and that translates into more than $4b a month on average; while it was $30.96b in the previous year, i.e. 2020 – 21 and this shows a huge increase of 57pc.

FPCCI chief has proposed that the government should announce the expected inflows of the dollar through all sources to put a halt to the uncertainty, chaos, and rumour-mongering in the market, i.e. IMF, World Bank, ADB, IDB; and, other multilateral & bilateral grants, loans and financing facilities.

Mr. Irfan Iqbal Sheikh admonished the fact that despite a bloodbath in the foreign exchange, the government has failed to appoint a governor for the SBP; and, that reflects poorly on the government’s seriousness to address the situation.

FPCCI President explained that just to keep their economies afloat, US, EU, and India have kept their interest rates negative; while, on the other hand, Pakistan has raised the interest rate to 15pc and financing is not available to businesses from commercial banks at less than 17pc. No business can repay their loans with such high inflationary pressures and such high-interest rates, he added.

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