The state of North Carolina has become leaning democrat after a 12-year history of being one of the 12 battleground states. It is being treated as battleground for this election, especially with a history of the 2016 election a lot has changed. America has greatly transformed.
In 2016, the N.C. House of Representatives had elected 74 republicans and 46 democrats. That year, N.C. also voted for Senate Republican Richard Burr for U.S. senate. He was neck and neck with the democratic nominee Deborah Ross.
Since 2019, N.C. House has 65 republicans and 55 democrats. Raleigh, the capital city, also elected a democratic mayor in 2019. Now, four months before the election, things are heating up. A Presidential poll by New York Times/Siena shows Biden has a nine point lead over the President in the state. Another poll, by Change Research shows the U.S. Senate race this year is being led by Democratic nominee James Calvin Cunningham III with a 7 point lead over Senator Tillis (R-NC).
Whereas in 2016, Trump and Clinton were in a close race with single digit leads in the polls.
There are about 2,534,292 registered democrats in the state. Whereas registered republicans in the state are 2,102,136 people. Now, for gubernatorial polls, one by East Carolina University, the Governor of North Carolina Roy Cooper, a democrat, has an 11 point lead over Dan Forest, the Lt. Governor. The Lt. Governor plans to run for Governor against Cooper.
Florida, another swing state, has also changed its view of who to support this election. In the polls, President Trump is trailing the former VP by 13 points. That’s according to a new Quinnipiac University poll. At this point of the year in 2016, Hillary Clinton trailed Candidate Donald Trump in the state by about 0.3 points. That’s according to an RCP poll.
In Michigan, the polls are showing an ugly picture for the President`s likability. A
Kiaer Research Poll shows Biden leading Trump by 15 points. Most polls have mostly started to show his double-digit leads in Michigan. In 2016, Clinton led the polls by 5 points over Trump. Moreover, for the U.S. Senate race this year, Senator Peters has a double-digit lead over the republican candidate John James.
And on top of all of this, Wisconsin, one of the most “close to call” states, things are not too close to call. In early march, Trump leaded the polls by about 1%. He won the same state in 2016 by 1% winning 10 delegates. Now, Biden is leading the polls with 11 points according to a Siena College/The New York Times Upshot poll. Even with a margin of error, that’s no longer a battleground state in this election.
The reasons why are quite simple.
In 2019, a majority of Democrats were sworn in to office as the house saw one of the most historic shifts in history. Additionally, the House of Representatives became more diverse electing “The Squad”.
President Trump`s poll numbers actually started to drop when the Senate impeachment inquiry began in January. The state started to turn blue when Republican Senators, with the exception of Mitt Romney (R-UT), voted to acquit the President.
Then, with the President`s handling of the pandemic, his poll numbers further sank with people starting to see the leadership they wanted to see, in Joe Biden.
Then with John Bolton`s and Mary Trump`s books, things deteriorated even further for President Donald Trump. It would take a miracle for his re-election which isn’t going to happen.
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