August marks the anniversary of four events that reverberated throughout the last century with tectonic consequences. The first was the start of World War I in 1914. The second was the bombing of Japan with two nuclear weapons. Third was the Tonkin Gulf incident of 1964 that cemented America’s long entrapment in the quagmire called Vietnam for another decade and the loss of 68,000 American service personnel.
Last week’s column was on the fourth event: Saddam Hussein’s seizure of Kuwait and 1990 and the beginning of Operations Desert Shield and Storm that led to perhaps the most one-sided military victory in history. While we mark those events, last week, we celebrated the life of LtGen Brent Scowcroft and mourned his death at age 95.
Brent may have been small of stature. But he possessed a giant intellect. Mild manner and self-effacing, the general could be tougher than hardened steel if demanded and if necessary.
Born seven years after World War I ended in 1918, Cadet Scowcroft was at West Point when Hiroshima and Nagasaki were struck. During the Tonkin Gulf debacle LtCol Scowcroft was on the Air Force’s long range planning staff. And when Iraqi forces headed into Kuwait, Lt-Gen Scowcroft, USAF (Ret) was serving for the second time as National Security Adviser for George H.W. Bush having held the post under President Gerald Ford a decade and a half before.
During his long career in and out of government, General Scowcroft was regarded as one of the three most influential American national security and foreign policy strategists since the end of World War II along with Dr. Zbigniew Brzezinski who died at age 89 in 2017 and Dr. Henry Kissinger the remaining survivor at 97. Less published than his two distinguished colleagues, the general cast a very long shadow working with both Republican and Democratic administrations.
The general had what could best be called enormous amounts of strategic common sense and an extraordinary decency and regard for his juniors. And he had equal levels of courage. As the George W. Bush administration was preparing to go to war for the second time in Iraq in 2003, General Scowcroft published an op-ed in the Wall Street Journal titled “Don’t Attack Saddam” arguing that the intelligence was simply not sufficient to justify that decision.
Given his very close relationship with the elder Bush including the book they co-authored in 1998 called A World Transformed, the White House correctly perceived that in part Scowcroft’s reasoning reflected that of the 41st president. Scowcroft became persona non grata. And tragically, his wise advice was not accepted.
The general had what could best be called enormous amounts of strategic common sense and an extraordinary decency and regard for his juniors. And he had equal levels of courage
Further evidence of his stature was the number of commissions on which his wisdom and experience were sought from arms control and strategic nuclear weapons to the Tower Commission convened in the wake of the Iran-Contra Scandal that almost ended the Reagan administration. Presidents as well as presidential candidates welcomed the opportunity to solicit the general’s advice.
Brent also had a sly sense of humour. Perhaps his closest friend, former CIA head, National Security Advisor and Secretary of Defence Robert Gates described the Scowcroft Award created by the first President Bush for the most extraordinary way of sleeping through briefings. Gates never said, but one assumes, the general believed that he had retired that award as the repeated winner.
The general was on the board of many institutions and think tanks. At the Atlantic Council with which I have been privileged to be associated for a very long time, the general was instrumental in rekindling its relevance and importance. The Council is both honored by and honors General Scowcroft by hosting the center bearing his name dedicated to sound strategic thinking and as one member correctly noted, providing the “north star” in that endeavor.
I had not seen the general since our last encounter after Donald Trump had been elected. We both shared grave reservations about the future. But the general made the point that it was important to support the commander-in-chief as the administration was taking form. The wisdom of the great Scot economist Adam Smith came to mind. In 1778 after British General “Gentleman” Johnny Burgoyne had been bested by General Gates at Saratoga and news reached Edinburgh where Smith was teaching, a student approached the professor literally crying: “Burgoyne is defeated. We are ruined!”
To which the eminent Dr. Smith replied: “My dear boy, there is a lot of ruin in a nation.” Nearly a quarter of a millennium later, in many ways, General Scowcroft was a modern day Adam Smith counseling patience and wisdom. DeGaulle believed that no one was indispensable. We shall see.
Dr Harlan Ullman is UPI’s Arnaud deBorchgrave Distinguished Columnist. He is Senior Advisor at the Atlantic Council and his next book is The Fifth Horseman: To Be Feared, Friended or Fought in a MAD-Driven Age
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