Daily Times

Oil prices were steady on Friday, supported by traders placing new hedges in the futures market in anticipation of a decline in US crude inventories, but held back from advancing by the prospect of rising global supplies.

US West Texas Intermediate crude futures were at $69.06 per barrel at 0421 GMT, up 10 cents from their last settlement.

Brent crude futures were at $73.40 per barrel, down 5 cents from their last close.

Overall US crude oil inventories actually rose by 3.8 million barrels last week to 408.74 million barrels, according to data from the Energy Information Administration , however stocks at the key Cushing storage hub in Oklahoma fell by 1.3 million barrels, the EIA data showed.

“Hedges (are) thought to be a factor in oil prices being well bid,” said Stephen Innes, head of trading for Asia-Pacific at futures brokerage OANDA in Singapore.

“There’s increasing chatter about … Cushing inventories (being) down … This primary US oil hub’s inventory now sits at the lowest levels since 2014,” he said.

ANZ bank said on Friday in a note the drop in Cushing inventories were a driver for rising crude oil prices “amid signs that last week’s (overall) build in inventories won’t last very long.”

Even with last week’s rise, overall US crude inventories are below the 5-year average of around 420 million barrels.

Bearish Factors

There were also factors holding oil markets in check.

WTI is heading for a roughly flat week after four weekly falls, while Brent is on track to post a fourth week of declines in five, set for a drop of 1.4 percent.

Analysts said the outlook beyond the short-term was turning bearish.

“Bulls are fighting a losing battle … Brent oil may fall to $67 per barrel,” said Reuters technical commodities analyst Wang Tao.

Russian oil output rose by 150,000 barrels per day (bpd) in July from a month earlier, to 11.21 million bpd, energy ministry data showed on Thursday.

Output by top exporter Saudi Arabia has also risen recently, to around 11 million bpd, and US production is around that level as well.

Reacting to rising supplies, Saudi Aramco cut its September price for its Arab Light grade for Asian customers by $0.70 a barrel versus August to a premium of $1.20 a barrel to the Oman/Dubai average, it said on Thursday.

Published in Daily Times, August 4^th 2018.