CPEC and Pakistan’s quest for energy security

Author: Asia Maqsood

Sufficient supply of energy is essential to industry, transport, infrastructure, information technology, agriculture and households. Besides this, economic growth and a higher standard of living is based on the reliable supply of energy. Pakistan has been facing an energy crises for last few years.

All aspects of life have been severely affected by a supply shortfall of 8000 MW since May 2011. China’s proposed investment of approximately 33.45 billion in the energy sector under CPEC, serves as a ray of hope for Pakistan.

According to Pakistan’s Water and Power Development Authority (WAPDA), Pakistan has faced a shortfall of 5000 MW in June 2016 with more than eight hours of load shedding, especially in rural areas. The current power demand has reached 21,200 MW (2016) while the production of power was mere 16,548 MW. Now the energy generation capacity has been increased to 22,797 MW while the demand has simultaneously reached 17000 MW. This trend indicates that the energy requirement of the country will reach up to 45000 MW by 2030.

When the first Joint Cooperation Committee (JCC) took place in 2013, Pakistan expressed its concern to give priority to the energy projects so as to address the energy crisis. Out of 17 early harvest projects, there were 11 energy projects.

The year 2017 has witnessed the successful operationalisation of Sahiwal coal-fired power project which is expected to add 1320 MW of electricity to the national grid. The Bin Qasim coal-fired plant has jointly been developed by the Chinese company; Power China and Al Mirqab Capital of Qatar.

The project will utilise state-of-art technology under CPEC to generate 1,360 MW when the second unit will start generation by February next year. The project was completed (unit-1) in 30 months, becoming a role model for other power investors.

Pakistan has reserves of renewable resources which need to be utilised efficiently. In this context CPEC is assuredly assisting Pakistan through its investment in the energy sector

All along, with the completion of the first phase of the Bin Qasim coal-fired plant of 660 MW at Karachi on 29 November, 2017, Prime Minister Shahid Khaqan Abbasi declared that the country will soon overcome the problem of load-shedding.

2017 has witnessed seventy percent completion of two infrastructure projects; KKH Phase-II (Havelian-Thakot Section) 120 km, Karachi-Lahore Motorway (Sukkur-Multan Section)392 km. Work on others is going at a steady pace while the project which can be considered CPEC’s backbone; Railway Line ML-1’s complete feasibility report has been compiled. An efficient and fast transportation network is vital for economic development.

There are 21 energy projects which would generate approximately 16,400 MW. It is pertinent to discuss here that the timeframe of their completion will be dynamic according to the circumstances, but China’s energy plans for CPEC ensures full prospects for Pakistan’s economic development by overcoming the energy shortage.

The diversification of existing energy resources with the exploration of new resources under CPEC would be a substantial step toward attaining sustainable power development.

Once completed, the energy projects under CPEC would also help Pakistan to get consistent and cost-effective energy supplies which serve as a backbone for modern economies and military. Hence, energy reserves are considered as strategic reserves because energy security uplifts the country’s stature in international politics, opening up new vistas for foreign direct investment and attracting international investors. Eventually this would increase country’s revenue and GDP.

Pakistan has both renewable and indigenous resources which need to be utilised efficiently. In this context CPEC is assuredly assisting Pakistan through its investment in the energy sector. It is important to discuss here that according to the availability of energy through these projects, Pakistan would be in a better position to pursue its defence and foreign policy.

According to a World Bank Report, Pakistan’s GDP is 5.2 percent in 2017 and expected to continue to grow at 5.5 percent in the Fiscal Year 2018. Besides this, political stability and a favourable environment is required for targeted goals. In a nutshell, the success of all projects would bring transformational changes not just for Pakistan but for the region as well. This will not only address the growing energy demands of the industrial sector of Pakistan but will also assist the other projects along the CPEC routes.

The writer is Research Associate at Strategic Vision Institute Islamabad

Published in Daily Times, December 27th 2017.

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