Hope on the Horizon

Author: Javed Iqbal

In the revival of the country’s economy and restoration of investors’ confidence, foreign direct investment plays a pivotal role. In this context, the incumbent government’s efforts to attract foreign investors resulted in fruition and so far countries like China, Saudi Arabia, UAE, and Qatar have made commitments to invest in Pakistan.

Last month, the Chinese PM paid a four-day visit to Pakistan during which 13 MOUs were signed to further strengthen cooperation in security, education, agriculture, human resource development, and science and technology. Besides this, several MOUs and agreements for Saudi investment in Pakistan amounting to $2.2 billion were also signed. That commitment however has been increased to $2.8 billion after PM Shahbaz Sharif’s recent visit to the KSA.

In continuation of efforts towards putting the economy back on track, the State Bank of Pakistan has reduced the interest rate by 2.5 per cent, slashing it to a two-year low of 15 percent. In another major economic development, Pakistan’s forex reserves rose from $18 million to $11.17 billion last week, maintaining their upward trend for the 15th consecutive week.

Besides traditional sectors, the role of the IT industry in the economic development of any country has also increased manifold.

The consistent upward trend of rise in foreign exchange reserves by over $2 billion in the past four months has inculcated confidence among policymakers so much so that global credit rating agencies like S&P, Moody’s and Fitch are expected to upgrade Pakistan’s rating to ‘B’ in the ongoing fiscal year, up from the existing rating of ‘C’.

Additionally, according to financial experts, the latest surge in reserves has reinforced the country’s ability to pay for imports. The constant enhancement in reserves will pave the way for the government to raise new funding from international markets by floating Eurobonds in the next fiscal year.

Besides traditional economic sectors, the role of the IT industry in the economic development of any country has also increased manifold. The same is the case with Pakistan, wherein IT exports soared to $3.2 billion in the fiscal year 2023-24 marking a robust 42 per cent increase as compared to the previous fiscal $2.59 billion. To further enhance IT growth and to meet modern world requirements, the government has started a mega IT park project, worth Rs 13.72 billion with financial and technical assistance from Korea.

According to media reports, the Islamabad IT park will accommodate approximately 120 start-ups and small to medium enterprises. This project is part of a larger, coordinated effort by the Pakistan government to increase the country’s IT exports to $25 billion. By establishing a supportive infrastructure for the tech industry, Pakistan aims to position itself as a regional hub for IT development, creating sustainable job growth and supporting a digital economy.

However, the real challenge Pakistan is confronted with is the mounting debt and a way to get out of this vicious web. This uphill task cannot be achieved until we get rid of the debt-based economy coupled with major reforms.

The current government, in its pursuit of foreign investment, has established a Special Investment Facilitation Centre for the provision of a conducive business environment, reduced production cost, and establishment of new industrial clusters. As of now, investment agreements worth billions of dollars in different sectors have been signed. Besides, Arab states’ economic relations with Russia and China have also produced fruitful results for Pakistan as Pakistan and Russia’s trade in the oil and gas sector has witnessed a 25 percent increase.

The writer is a freelance columnist with special focus on issues concerning national security.

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