Economic influence of students’ emigration on Pakistan

Author: Shafqat Mahmood Awan

Since 2022, Pakistan has witnessed a significant increase in students’ emigration, with many young Pakistanis pursuing higher education opportunities abroad. This shift, driven by aspirations for advanced degrees and better career prospects, has profound implications for Pakistan’s economy.

Since 2022, there has been a marked rise in Pakistani students studying overseas. According to the Higher Education Commission of Pakistan, the number of students going abroad for higher education increased by approximately 20% from 2022 to 2024. Popular destinations include the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, and Australia. This trend is reflective of a broader regional pattern seen in neighboring countries such as India and Bangladesh, where students are also increasingly opting for international education.

This surge can be attributed to the quest for high-quality education and enhanced career opportunities. Pakistani students are increasingly seeking programs and institutions that offer advanced technological resources, diverse academic perspectives, and improved job prospects that are often not available domestically.

The financial impact of student emigration on Pakistan’s foreign exchange reserves has been substantial. In 2023, it was estimated that around $2.5 billion was spent on education-related expenses abroad by Pakistani families. This substantial outflow has contributed to the strain on Pakistan’s foreign exchange reserves, which saw a reported decrease of approximately 5% in the first half of 2023. This decline has been partially attributed to the increased demand for foreign currency to support students studying abroad.

For comparative context, countries like India have managed to balance similar outflows with substantial inflows from their diaspora. India, with its significant global diaspora, has seen considerable remittances that help mitigate the impact of educational expenditures abroad. Pakistan could benefit from a similar strategy by encouraging its diaspora to invest and contribute more significantly to the national economy.

However, there is an offsetting benefit. Pakistani students who return after completing their studies often bring back valuable skills and contribute positively to the country’s foreign reserves. For example, the Pakistan Bureau of Statistics reported that returnees contributed an estimated $1 billion in remittances in 2023, which helps to partially offset the financial outflow.

The emigration of students has had a complex impact on Pakistan’s domestic job market. On one hand, it reduces the number of job seekers within the country, potentially easing some employment pressures. On the other hand, the brain drain effect remains a significant concern. According to a report by the Institute of Policy Studies, Pakistan experienced a 15% increase in the emigration of skilled professionals over the past two years. Sectors such as technology, healthcare, and engineering have been particularly affected by this trend.

The departure of talented professionals can impede Pakistan’s innovation and productivity. Those who stay abroad contribute to their host countries’ economies, further widening the talent gap in Pakistan. The loss of skilled workers in key sectors such as technology and healthcare can have long-term implications for Pakistan’s economic development and global competitiveness.

Despite the challenges, student emigration has also created economic opportunities for Pakistan. The increase in foreign exchange inflows through remittances, totaling approximately $3.5 billion in 2023, reflects a positive economic contribution. This influx of remittances helps to bolster Pakistan’s financial position and supports local economies.

To capitalize on these opportunities, the government should implement policies that encourage the return of educated individuals. For instance, offering incentives for entrepreneurship and investment in local businesses can help mitigate the adverse effects of brain drain. Additionally, fostering a supportive environment for returnees to reintegrate into the job market is crucial for maximizing their economic contribution.

Countries like Canada and Australia provide successful models for managing and leveraging international student inflows. They have implemented policies to attract international students and retain skilled professionals by offering pathways to permanent residency and incentives for contributing to the local economy.

A comprehensive strategy is essential to balance the effects of student emigration. This strategy should include efforts to enhance domestic educational and employment opportunities to retain talent. Investments in higher education and research are critical for creating an environment that encourages students to stay and contribute to Pakistan’s development.

Additionally, policies designed to facilitate the return of educated individuals and support their reintegration into the local workforce are vital. Providing opportunities for returnees to engage in local business, innovation, and research can help address the challenges associated with brain drain while leveraging the benefits of emigration.

By creating a robust framework that supports both international educational pursuits and the reintegration of returnees, Pakistan can better manage the economic impacts of student emigration. This balanced approach will be crucial for ensuring the country’s long-term economic stability and growth.

Since 2022, student emigration from Pakistan has had significant economic implications. While it exerts pressure on foreign exchange reserves and contributes to brain drain, it also presents opportunities for increased remittances and potential economic development through returnees. Adopting a balanced economic strategy that enhances domestic conditions and leverages the benefits of emigration will be crucial for Pakistan’s long-term economic stability and growth.

The writer is an advocate of High Court and a banker. He can be reached @msmalvi@yahoo.com

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